Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...? — Before Jul 1, 2027

    18% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes18%▼ 1kalshiYes16¢17¢ after fees
    No82%▲ 1kalshiNo89¢90¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $1.2K
    24h
    $3
    Liquidity
    $2.6K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      8¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes18%▼ 1kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    No82%▲ 1kalshi89¢90¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 16¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If, after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positiv…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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