Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...? — December 31, 2026

    5% chance

    Yes5%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes6¢no fee
    No95%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo96¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $12.1K
    24h
    $461
    Liquidity
    $14.7K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes5%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢no fee
    No95%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US96¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positiv…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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