How many Israeli elections before government formed?

How many Israeli elections before government formed? — 4

2% chance · down 47 pts today

Yes2%▼ 47

Buy Yes8¢9¢ after fees

No98%▲ 47—

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $15.8K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $14.2K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 47¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes2%▼ 478¢1¢

8¢9¢ after fees

No98%▲ 47––—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 4 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: How many Israeli elections before government formed?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027