How many Israeli elections before government formed? — 2

    24% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes24%▼ 1kalshiYes25¢27¢ after fees
    No76%▲ 1kalshiNo80¢82¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $89.5K
    24h
    $88
    Liquidity
    $15.2K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes24%▼ 1kalshi25¢27¢ after fees
    No76%▲ 1kalshi80¢82¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 25¢: exit costs ~0.75¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 25¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 2 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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