How many Israeli elections before government formed? — 1

    66% chance · down 4 pts today

    Yes66%▼ 4kalshiYes73¢75¢ after fees
    No34%▲ 4kalshiNo37¢39¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $152.7K
    24h
    $391
    Liquidity
    $24.6K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Yes24h
      7¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes66%▼ 4kalshi73¢75¢ after fees
    No34%▲ 4kalshi37¢39¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 66¢: exit costs ~0.9¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 73¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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