Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner 2028 — Donald J. Trump

    14% chance · down 15 pts today

    Yes14%▼ 15kalshiYes2¢3¢ after fees
    No86%▲ 15Polymarket USNo94¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $20
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.5K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 15¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket US
    2. Yes24h
      4¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket US

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes14%▼ 15kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    No86%▲ 15Polymarket US94¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 2¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 6¢: Fees unavailable
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Donald J. Trump wins the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucus, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Iowa is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Iowa Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Iowa public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-r…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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