What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Dilution of Iran's Uranium

    12% chance · down 2 pts today

    Yes12%▼ 2Polymarket USYes12¢fee unknown
    No88%▲ 2Polymarket USNo89¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
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    24h
    $6
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    $64.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 2 venues

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    Yes12%▼ 2Polymarket US12¢fee unknown
    No89%▲ 2Polymarket US89¢fee unknown

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market resolves to “Yes” if a written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran that establishes a commitment for Iranian-controlled enriched uranium to be downblended or diluted has been mutually signed or otherwise formally adopted by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” A qualifying written instrument must provide for any quantity of enriched uranium held b…

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    What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

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