How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in California? — 48

98% chance

Yes98%

Buy Yes99¢fee unknown

No2%

Buy No2¢fee unknown

Resolves: Jan 4, 2026
Volume: $51.2K
24h: $28
Liquidity: $10.4K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes98%—99¢98¢99¢

99¢fee unknown

No2%—3¢2¢2¢

2¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 98¢: exit costs ~0.07¢/contract

Polymarket USat 99¢: Fees unavailable

Kalshiat 99¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the Democratic party has won exactly 48 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election. All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vac…

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Polymarket US

How Many House Seats Will The Democrats Win In California?

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