How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?

    48 leads by 95 pts

    1. 48#198%
    2. 49#23%
    3. 49+#31%
    Resolves
    Jan 14, 2027
    Volume
    $123.2K
    24h
    $385
    Liquidity
    $24.6K
    Candidates
    9
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 16 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 4898%
    • 493%
    • 49+1%
    • 471%
    • 46<1%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. 4924h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    48$51.2K vol98%—Polymarket US99¢fee unknown
    49$5.9K vol3%▼ 4kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    49+$4.0K vol1%▲ 1Polymarket US6¢fee unknown
    47$16.6K vol1%▲ 1kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    46$14.5K vol<1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    45$7.1K vol<1%——
    44$7.1K vol<1%——
    Below 44$3.7K vol<1%——
    50 and above$4.2K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the Democratic party has won exactly 48 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election. All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vac…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    How Many House Seats Will The Democrats Win In California?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election. All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, January 14, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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