Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? — December 31, 2028

22% chance

Yes22%

Buy Yes24¢25¢ after fees

No78%

Buy No81¢82¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2028
Volume: $70.1K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $4.1K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes22%—24¢

24¢25¢ after fees

No79%—81¢

81¢82¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0.91¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a quali…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
Resolves: Sun, December 31, 2028