Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

    December 31, 2028 leads by 9 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. December 31, 2028#120%
    2. December 31, 2027#211%
    3. December 31, 2026#33%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2028
    Volume
    $502.7K
    24h
    $0
    Outcomes
    3
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 31, 202820%
    • December 31, 202711%
    • December 31, 20263%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    December 31, 2028$70.1K vol20%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US22¢23¢ after fees
    December 31, 2027$100.5K vol11%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US12¢13¢ after fees
    December 31, 2026$332.1K vol3%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, December 31, 2028
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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