Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026? — 5-7

    20% chance

    Yes20%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes21¢22¢ after fees
    No80%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo82¢83¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $7.1K
    24h
    $2.0K
    Liquidity
    $4.9K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes20%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US21¢22¢ after fees
    No81%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US82¢83¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 21¢: exit costs ~0.66¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the number of days in November 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily st…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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