Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?

    <5 leads by 52 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. <5#174%
    2. 5-7#222%
    3. 8-10#32%
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $10.3K
    24h
    $1.9K
    Outcomes
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • <574%
    • 5-722%
    • 8-102%
    • 11-131%
    • 14+<1%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. <524h
      ▲ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. 5-724h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. 8-1024h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    <5$5.7K vol74%▲ 9Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US74¢75¢ after fees
    5-7$2.5K vol22%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US22¢23¢ after fees
    8-10$879 vol2%▼ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    11-13$591 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    14+$636 vol<1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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