Bitcoin hits $1m

    Volume

    $4.5M

    $1.6K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jul 31, 2026

    ~51 days left

    Category

    Culture

    49¢CHANCE OF YES49%51%
    Yes
    49¢
    Polymarket
    No
    51¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    49¢
    No
    51¢
    Vol
    $4.5M
    $1.6K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    Jun 4 16:00Jun 5 18:00Jun 6 20:00Jun 7 22:00Jun 9 00:00Jun 10 03:00Jun 11 10:5344¢47¢50¢54¢

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final "High" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: UMA oracle / official announcements

    Rule: Resolves based on official announcement. Admin review for ambiguous outcomes.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 49¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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