Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    What will happen before GTA VI?

    Resolves Jul 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $20.7M

    +$22.8K (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    54¢

    GPT-6 released

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    GPT-6 released

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    GPT-6 released
    		54¢55¢
    $657.3K+$951 24h
    		-2¢—
    2
    New Rihanna Album
    		53¢53¢
    $794.7K+$9.2K 24h
    		+1¢—
    3
    New Playboi Carti Album
    		53¢53¢
    $738.5K+$694 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    China invades Taiwan
    		51¢51¢
    $1.9M+$1.4K 24h
    		——
    5
    Trump out as President
    		51¢51¢
    $662.1K+$1.1K 24h
    		——
    6
    Another Pandemic📈 Trending
    		51¢51¢
    $14.8K+$478 24h
    		——
    7
    Bitcoin hits $1m
    		49¢49¢
    $4.4M+$3.6K 24h
    		——
    8
    Jesus Christ returns
    		49¢49¢
    $11.5M+$5.5K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1GPT-6 released
    54%
    54¢-2¢
    2New Rihanna Album
    53%
    53¢+1¢
    3New Playboi Carti Album
    53%
    53¢-1¢
    4China invades Taiwan
    51%
    51¢—
    5Trump out as President
    51%
    51¢—
    6Another Pandemic
    51%
    51¢—
    7Bitcoin hits $1m
    49%
    49¢—
    8Jesus Christ returns
    49%
    49¢—

    Price History

    GPT-6 releasedNew Playboi Carti AlbumNew Rihanna AlbumAnother Pandemic
    May 26 12:00May 27 15:00May 28 18:00May 29 22:00May 31 01:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2943.5%48.5%53.5%62.5%

    Related reading

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    Culture

    GTA 6 Release Date Locked: Pre-Orders and Trailer 3 Expected by Late June

    1 minWilliam Chan Published: May 25 2026, 16:13 PM EDT
    Culture

    GTA 6 November 2026 Release Date Is Happening, Take-Two Boss Says, Pouring Cold Water on Delay Fears

    1 minUnknown
    Culture

    Ahead of GTA 6 Marketing in June, Excitement Builds for State of Play and Summer Game Fest

    1 minNeha Joshi
    Culture

    GTA 6 Pre-Release Roadmap Predictions | Why should you start preparing this May? | IGGM

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    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 31, 2026

    ~60 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $20.7M

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    sold $29K No on Bitcoin hits $1m

    polymarket · 8 days ago

    Whale

    sold $25K No on Jesus Christ returns

    polymarket · 24 days ago

    Whale

    bought $20K No on Bitcoin hits $1m

    polymarket · 13 days ago

    Whale

    bought $20K No on Bitcoin hits $1m

    polymarket · 18 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 31, 11:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 5.8% in 24h

      New Rihanna Album · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 30, 12:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.2% in 24h

      GPT-6 released · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 29, 11:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.2% in 24h

      GPT-6 released · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 29, 10:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 10.2% in 24h

      GPT-6 released · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 29, 9:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 8.5% in 24h

      GPT-6 released · Polymarket