Beta
    LIVE

    Beto O'Rourke

    Volume

    $41.8M

    $25.5K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028

    ~880 days left

    Category

    Politics

    0¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    0¢
    Kalshi
    No
    99¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $40.8M
    $25.0K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $958.1K
    $508 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    Jun 4 16:00Jun 5 18:00Jun 6 20:00Jun 7 22:00Jun 9 00:00Jun 10 03:00Jun 11 10:530¢2¢4¢6¢

    About This Market

    If Beto O'Rourke wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify
    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 0¢: exit costs ~0.01¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 7, 2028
    Time Left880 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Beto O'Rourke Is Searching for a Democratic Strategy in Texas

    1 minAllegra Hobbs
    Politics

    Who Will Run for President in 2028? What Potential Contenders Have Said

    1 minChantelle Lee
    Politics

    My rankings of the 10 Democrats most likely to be the 2028 nominee

    1 minChris Cillizza
    Politics

    Beto O’Rourke holds town hall-style event in Philly - WHYY

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    2028 Democratic Nominee Odds & Prediction Markets

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Beto O'Rourke on potential 2026 run: "I don't need to be a candidate..I do need to help Texas..."

    1 minCBS TEXAS
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    Pete Buttigieg tops new 2028 Democratic presidential primary poll

    1 minJulia Mueller
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    GOP Vs. Dems: Party Nomination Odds for 2028 Presidential Race: March 24, 2026

    1 minJose Torres

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