Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

    Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028
    Total Volume

    $1.2B

    +$1.6M (24h)

    Active Markets

    45

    Across 3 platforms

    Frontrunner

    24¢

    Gavin Newsom

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +1¢

    Jon Ossoff

    Arb Opportunities

    2

    Best gross: 4.2¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    45 markets · Showing 8
    #24H
    124¢24¢25¢25¢
    $31.4M+$43.1K 24h
    211¢14¢
    $17.4M+$37.5K 24h
    🔥
    310¢11¢
    $15.9M+$33.4K 24h
    4
    $15.0M+$63.1K 24h
    +1¢
    5
    $11.4M+$42.9K 24h
    6
    $17.9M+$64.0K 24h
    7
    $14.2M+$9.3K 24h
    8
    $15.4M+$12.9K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Gavin Newsom
    24%
    24¢
    2Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    3Kamala Harris
    4Jon Ossoff
    +1¢
    5Josh Shapiro
    6Rahm Emanuel
    7Pete Buttigieg
    8Andy Beshear
    9Mark Kelly
    10Ro Khanna
    11JB Pritzker
    12Wes Moore
    13Gretchen Whitmer
    14Stephen A Smith
    15Cory Booker
    16Ruben Gallego

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 7, 2028

    ~907 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    45
    Platforms
    3
    Total Volume
    $1.2B
    Arb Opportunities
    2

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $169K No on Zohran Mamdani

    polymarket · 14 days ago

    Mega

    bought $99K No on Bernie Sanders

    polymarket · 6 days ago

    Mega

    bought $99K No on Bernie Sanders

    polymarket · 6 days ago

    Mega

    bought $79K No on Bernie Sanders

    polymarket · 6 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 25.0% in 24h

      Mark Kelly · PredictIt

    • DivergenceMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Pricing disconnect: platforms disagree by 50¢ on outcome probability

      Tim Walz · Kalshi, Polymarket

    • DivergenceMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Pricing disconnect: platforms disagree by 17¢ on outcome probability

      Jon Ossoff · PredictIt, Kalshi, Polymarket

    • DivergenceMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Pricing disconnect: platforms disagree by 28¢ on outcome probability

      Mark Kelly · PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 25.0% in 24h

      Mark Kelly · PredictIt