How many Israeli elections before government formed? — 5+

    <1% chance

    Yes<1%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes1¢no fee
    No>99%—
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $12.0K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $12.5K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee
    No>99%——

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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