What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

15% chance

Yes15%

Buy Yes15¢no fee

No85%

Buy No86¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $375.1K
24h: $270
Liquidity: $35.9K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes15%—15¢

15¢no fee

No86%—86¢

86¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 15¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market resolves to “Yes” if a written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran that establishes a specific, percentage cap on the purity level to which Iran may enrich uranium, committed to for at least one year, has been mutually signed or otherwise formally adopted by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” The instrument must specifically include a percentage…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026