Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...? — Before Jan 1, 2027

    12% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes12%▼ 1kalshiYes18¢20¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 1kalshiNo85¢86¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $45.0K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.2K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      9¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%▼ 1kalshi18¢20¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 1kalshi85¢86¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 9¢: exit costs ~0.33¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 18¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    kalshiKalshi

    If Anthropic announces a complete solution, developed by Anthropic or researchers collaborating directly with Anthropic on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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