Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027 leads by 11 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+
- December 31, 2027#1December 31, 202727%▼ 1
Before Jan 1, 2027#2Before Jan 1, 202716%
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2027
- Volume
- $55.7K
- 24h
- $121
- Liquidity
- $5.0K
- Outcomes
- 2
2 venues · 2 marketsWho’s winning
Top 2, each at its busiest venue- December 31, 202727%
- Before Jan 1, 202716%
Polymarket USCFTC-regulatedDeposit $10, get $25
Trading bonus for new sign-ups.
Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER
Signals
1 signal- Before Jan 1, 202724h9¢ apart across venues
Every outcome, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- Before Jan 1, 20279¢buy
- Polymarket (global)
- Kalshi
- Consensus
Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗Kalshi
If Anthropic announces a complete solution, developed by Anthropic or researchers collaborating directly with Anthropic on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of Anthropic, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used Anthropic's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Category
- Culture
- Resolves
- Fri, December 31, 2027
Compared across 2 venues