Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? — Angus Taylor

    18% chance · down 5 pts today

    Yes18%▼ 5kalshiYes23¢25¢ after fees
    No82%▲ 5kalshiNo85¢86¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Sep 23, 2028
    Volume
    $3.0K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $5.3K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes18%▼ 5kalshi23¢25¢ after fees
    No82%▲ 5kalshi85¢86¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0.73¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 23¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Angus Taylor becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolutio…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, September 23, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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