First Dem POTUS announcement? — Andy Beshear

33% chance · down 10 pts today

Yes33%▼ 10

Buy Yes27¢29¢ after fees

No67%▲ 10

Buy No69¢72¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2028
Volume: $17.9K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $130

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 10¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes33%▼ 1027¢24¢78¢

27¢29¢ after fees

No68%▲ 1076¢89¢69¢

69¢72¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 24¢: exit costs ~0.73¢/contract

Kalshiat 27¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Andy Beshear is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavi…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

PredictIt

Which of these Democratic candidates will announce a 2028 POTUS run first?

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: First Dem POTUS announcement?
Resolves: Sun, December 31, 2028