Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? — AfD

58% chance · down 11 pts today

Yes58%▼ 11

Buy Yes63¢65¢ after fees

No42%▲ 11

Buy No43¢45¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $23.3K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $451

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 11¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes58%▼ 1163¢74¢

63¢65¢ after fees

No42%▲ 1143¢61¢

43¢45¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 63¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state governm…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026