Abelardo de la Espriella

    Volume

    $4.0M

    $74.1K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~204 days left

    Category

    Politics

    87¢CHANCE OF YES86%14%
    Yes+2¢
    87¢
    Polymarket
    No-2¢
    14¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    87¢
    No
    14¢
    Vol
    $3.3M
    $64.0K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    87¢
    No
    14¢
    Vol
    $742.1K
    $10.0K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Yes
    94¢
    No
    32¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    Jun 4 16:00Jun 5 18:00Jun 6 20:00Jun 7 22:00Jun 9 00:00Jun 10 03:00Jun 11 10:5376¢82¢88¢99¢

    About This Market

    Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

    How This Resolves

    PolymarketPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    PredictItPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    KalshiKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 87¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    IPredictItat 94¢: exit costs ~9.4¢/contract
    KKalshiat 87¢: exit costs ~0.79¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left204 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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