What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? — Enriched Uranium Surrender

5% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes5%▼ 1

Buy Yes5¢fee unknown

No95%▲ 1

Buy No96¢fee unknown

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $158.3K
24h: $1.3K
Liquidity: $51.2K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes5%▼ 15¢5¢

5¢fee unknown

No96%▲ 196¢96¢

96¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Polymarket USat 5¢: Fees unavailable

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market resolves to “Yes” if a written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran that commits Iran to surrender any quantity of enriched uranium has been mutually signed or otherwise formally adopted by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” A qualifying written instrument must explicitly commit Iran to the transfer of a portion or all of its enriched uranium stoc…

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Polymarket US

What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026