CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory — Republican 0-5%

3% chance

Yes3%

Buy Yes5¢5¢ after fees

No97%—

Resolves: Nov 3, 2026
Volume: $103
24h: $14
Liquidity: $307

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes3%—5¢

5¢5¢ after fees

No98%—–—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0.19¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 CA-45 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves: Tue, November 3, 2026