Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season? — New York

    2% chance

    Yes2%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes4¢4¢ after fees
    No98%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo99¢99¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 7, 2026
    Volume
    $2.4K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $873
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes2%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢4¢ after fees
    No98%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢99¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 4¢: exit costs ~0.2¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisori…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, December 7, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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