Weather

    Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

    North Carolina and Hawaii are level

    1. North Carolina#14%
    2. Hawaii#24%
    3. South Carolina#33%
    #4 New Jersey3%#5 Georgia3%+13 more
    Resolves
    Dec 7, 2026
    Volume
    $47.8K
    24h
    $0
    Outcomes
    18
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 19 markets

    Who’s winning

    • North Carolina4%
    • Hawaii4%
    • South Carolina3%
    • New Jersey3%
    • Georgia3%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. New Jersey24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    North Carolina$3.0K vol4%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢6¢ after fees
    Hawaii$5.0K vol4%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    South Carolina$1.9K vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    New Jersey$1.6K vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    Georgia$3.0K vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees
    Maryland$1.9K vol3%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢5¢ after fees
    New Hampshire$2.1K vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees
    Rhode Island$2.1K vol3%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢5¢ after fees
    Virginia$2.0K vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees
    New York$2.4K vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, December 7, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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