Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? — 7th-9th

    59% chance

    Yes59%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes64¢65¢ after fees
    No41%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo47¢48¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $13.2K
    24h
    $360
    Liquidity
    $404
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes59%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US64¢65¢ after fees
    No42%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US47¢48¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 64¢: exit costs ~1.15¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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