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    Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

    7th-9th leads by 34 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. 7th-9th#159%
    2. 10th-12th#225%
    3. 6th or higher#319%
    #4 13th-15th1%#5 Below 15th<1%
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $47.6K
    24h
    $891
    Outcomes
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 7th-9th59%
    • 10th-12th25%
    • 6th or higher19%
    • 13th-15th1%
    • Below 15th<1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. 10th-12th24h
      ▼ 26¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. 7th-9th24h
      ▲ 14¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. 6th or higher24h
      ▲ 13¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    7th-9th$13.2K vol59%▲ 14Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US62¢63¢ after fees
    10th-12th$17.5K vol25%▼ 26Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US26¢27¢ after fees
    6th or higher$14.6K vol19%▲ 13Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US23¢23¢ after fees
    13th-15th$1.1K vol1%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Below 15th$1.2K vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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