Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — 6 or lower
<1% chance
Yes<1%—
No>99%—
- Resolves
- Dec 30, 2026
- Volume
- $607.0K
- 24h
- $1.0K
- Liquidity
- $22.1K
Listed on 1 venueChance over time
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Signals
Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.
Every venue’s price
No venue is quoting this market right now.
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will res…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
- Category
- Culture
- Resolves
- Wed, December 30, 2026
Compared across 1 venueIn the news
Discussion
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