Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? — 1

94% chance · down 3 pts today

Yes94%▼ 3

Buy Yes98¢98¢ after fees

No6%▲ 3

Buy No8¢9¢ after fees

Resolves: Mar 1, 2027
Volume: $778.5K
24h: $1.5K
Liquidity: $24.8K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
▼ 3¢ in 24h

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes94%▼ 395¢98¢

98¢98¢ after fees

No6%▲ 37¢8¢

8¢9¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 95¢: exit costs ~0.24¢/contract

Crypto.comat 98¢: exit costs ~0.14¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will res…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Crypto.com

2026 Rank Among Hottest Years on Record

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