How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026? — 35 to 49

    90% chance

    Yes90%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes90¢91¢ after fees
    No10%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo10¢11¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $32.6K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $2.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes90%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US90¢91¢ after fees
    No10%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢11¢ after fees

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 90¢: exit costs ~0.44¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports page at nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/west-nile-virus-reports.page. Cases are counted as whole numbers, so each ou…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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