How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

    35 to 49 leads by 83 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. 35 to 49#190%
    2. 50 or more#27%
    3. 20 to 34#31%
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $112.8K
    24h
    $0
    Outcomes
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 4 markets

    Who’s winning

    • 35 to 4990%
    • 50 or more7%
    • 20 to 341%
    • Fewer than 201%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    35 to 49$32.6K vol90%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US90¢91¢ after fees
    50 or more$22.5K vol7%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢8¢ after fees
    20 to 34$47.2K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Fewer than 20$10.5K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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