U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...? — December 31, 2026

10% chance · down 11 pts today

Yes10%▼ 11

Buy Yes9¢10¢ after fees

No90%▲ 11

Buy No98¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $48.4K
24h: $140
Liquidity: $11.1K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▼ 11¢ in 24h
Yes24h
11¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes10%▼ 119¢20¢

9¢10¢ after fees

No90%▲ 1198¢92¢

98¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 9¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 20¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the United States announces the opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confi…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026