Trump declassifies new UFO files by...? — Before Dec 1, 2026

63% chance · up 3 pts today

Yes63%▲ 3

Buy Yes51¢53¢ after fees

No37%▼ 3

Buy No57¢59¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $25.6K
24h: $920
Liquidity: $4.9K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▲ 3¢ in 24h
Yes24h
14¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes63%▲ 351¢65¢

51¢53¢ after fees

No37%▼ 357¢37¢

57¢59¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 51¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 65¢: exit costs ~0.91¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026