Trump declassifies new UFO files by...? — Before Jan 1, 2027

92% chance · up 2 pts today

Yes92%▲ 2

Buy Yes81¢83¢ after fees

No8%▼ 2

Buy No25¢27¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $43.8K
24h: $264
Liquidity: $11.3K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
11¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes92%▲ 281¢92¢

81¢83¢ after fees

No8%▼ 225¢9¢

25¢27¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 81¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 92¢: exit costs ~0.29¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the federal government has released, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026