which usmca outcomes occur 2026

    Trilateral revised deal

    which usmca outcomes occur 2026. Best Yes near 29¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 29¢ · Best No: 79¢ · 1 platform

    • Kalshi: Yes 29¢ / No 79¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Trilateral revised deal

    Volume

    $645

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    ~109 days left

    Category

    Politics

    29¢CHANCE OF YES27%73%
    Yes
    29¢
    Kalshi
    No
    79¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    29¢
    No
    79¢
    Vol
    $645
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, an agreement in principle establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA while preserving it as a trilateral agreement, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 29¢: exit costs ~1.44¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Jan 1, 2027
    Time Left109 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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