when next us recession start

    Q1 2026

    when next us recession start. Best Yes near 6¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 6¢ · Best No: 100¢ · 1 platform

    • Kalshi: Yes 6¢ / No 100¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Q1 2026

    Volume

    $85.1K

    $50 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~108 days left

    Category

    Economics

    6¢CHANCE OF YES6%94%
    Yes
    6¢
    Kalshi
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    6¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $85.1K
    $50 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 6¢: exit costs ~0.41¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left108 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

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