When will the next US recession start?

    When will the next US recession start? Live odds across 6 markets: Q1 2026 at 3¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    When will the next US recession start?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $516.4K

    +$50 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    Q1 2026

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -3¢

    Q1 2026

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    1
    $85.1K+$50 24h
    -3¢
    2
    $96.9K
    -2¢
    3
    $45.3K
    -1¢
    4
    $82.8K
    -1¢
    5
    $130.7K
    -1¢
    6
    $75.6K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Q1 2026
    -3¢
    2Q4 2025
    -2¢
    3Q4 2024
    -1¢
    4Q3 2025
    -1¢
    5Q2 2025
    -1¢
    6Q1 2025

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~109 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $516.4K

    Whale Activity

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