Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...? — March 31, 2027

    15% chance

    Yes15%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes16¢17¢ after fees
    No85%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo86¢86¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $10.4K
    24h
    $10
    Liquidity
    $11.0K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes15%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US16¢17¢ after fees
    No85%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US86¢86¢ after fees

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 16¢: exit costs ~0.54¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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