Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

    March 31, 2027 leads by 9 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. March 31, 2027#115%
    2. December 31, 2026#26%
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $306.6K
    24h
    $31
    Candidates
    2
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • March 31, 202715%
    • December 31, 20266%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. March 31, 202724h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    March 31, 2027$10.4K vol15%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US16¢17¢ after fees
    December 31, 2026$296.2K vol6%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢7¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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