Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — John Roberts

26% chance

Yes26%

Buy Yes30¢32¢ after fees

No74%

Buy No79¢81¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes26%—30¢

30¢32¢ after fees

No75%—79¢

79¢81¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 30¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If John Roberts resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.