Scotus & Courts

    Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

    Samuel Alito leads by 12 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. Samuel Alito#138%
    2. John Roberts#226%
    3. Clarence Thomas#321%
    #4 Sonia Sotomayor7%#5 Elena Kagan5%+4 more
    Resolves
    Jan 20, 2029
    Volume
    $126.5K
    24h
    $2
    Candidates
    9
    kalshi1 venue · 9 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Samuel Alito38%
    • John Roberts26%
    • Clarence Thomas21%
    • Sonia Sotomayor7%
    • Elena Kagan5%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Samuel Alito24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. John Roberts24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Samuel Alito$57.9K vol38%▼ 8kalshi45¢47¢ after fees
    John Roberts$6.6K vol26%▼ 4kalshi30¢32¢ after fees
    Clarence Thomas$48.6K vol21%▼ 1kalshi22¢24¢ after fees
    Sonia Sotomayor$11.7K vol7%▼ 1kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Elena Kagan$80 vol5%▼ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Amy Coney Barrett$1.2K vol5%▼ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Ketanji Brown Jackson$370 vol4%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Brett Kavanaugh$8 vol3%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Neil Gorsuch$14 vol2%▼ 1kalshi3¢4¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 20, 2029
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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