Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? — December 31

2% chance

Yes2%

Buy Yes2¢no fee

No98%

Buy No99¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $283.3K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $21.9K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes2%—2¢

2¢no fee

No98%—99¢

99¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israel…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026