GPT-7 released by...? — June 30, 2027

    46% chance · down 9 pts today

    Yes46%▼ 9Polymarket USYes50¢fee unknown
    No54%▲ 9Polymarket USNo51¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $18.3K
    24h
    $822
    Liquidity
    $8.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    2. Yes24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes46%▼ 9Polymarket US50¢fee unknown
    No54%▲ 9Polymarket US51¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 46¢: exit costs ~0.99¢/contract
    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 50¢: Fees unavailable
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-7 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's ge…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    GPT-7 Released?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

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