GPT-7 released by...?
December 31, 2027 leads by 24 pts · 4 outcomes at 5%+
- December 31, 2027#1December 31, 202786%▼ 1
- By September 30, 2027#2By September 30, 202762%
- June 30, 2027#3June 30, 202746%▼ 8
- Resolves
- Jan 14, 2028
- Volume
- $30.1K
- 24h
- $822
- Liquidity
- $39.5K
- Outcomes
- 4
2 venues · 4 marketsWho’s winning
Top 4, each at its busiest venue- December 31, 202786%
- By September 30, 202762%
- June 30, 202746%
- By March 31, 202719%
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Signals
2 signals- June 30, 202724h▼ 8¢ in 24h
- June 30, 202724h4¢ apart across venues
Every outcome, every venue
2 venuesYes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Where venues disagree
Yes price- June 30, 20274¢buy
- Polymarket (global)
- Polymarket US
- Consensus
Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.
Smart money
Biggest tradesLoading trades…
In the news
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-7 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's ge…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-7 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Astra, Sol, Terra, Luna, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 7 or higher appears in the name or model identifier. For example, GPT-7, GPT-7 Astra, GPT-7 Sol, or a later version such as GPT-7.1 or GPT-8 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 7, such as GPT-6 Astra or GPT-6.1, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 7 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify. Task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime, transcription, or text-to-speech models will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
- Category
- Culture
- Resolves
- Fri, January 14, 2028
Compared across 2 venues