TRADING OPEN

    Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? — October 31, 2026

    Volume

    $174.9K

    $260 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 1, 2026

    ~8 days left

    Category

    Politics

    1¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    1¢
    Polymarket
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $169.6K
    $260 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    2¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $5.2K
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 2¢: exit costs ~0.14¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 1, 2026
    Time Left8 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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