Which G7 leader will leave office next? — Emmanuel Macron (President of France)

69% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes69%▼ 1

Buy Yes71¢73¢ after fees

No31%▲ 1

Buy No33¢35¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 1, 2045
Volume: $3.7K
24h: $25

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes69%▼ 171¢98¢

71¢73¢ after fees

No31%▲ 133¢52¢

33¢35¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 71¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Which G7 Leader Will Leave Office Next?

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Resolves: Sun, January 1, 2045